In 1960, when I was in the first grade, healthcare spending was 5% of the US economy. Today, it is 17.9%. By 2025, the projection is 19.9%. Yowza! This is trillions of dollars. To put it into dollars and cents, health care spending rose 4.3% to $3.3 trillion in 2016, or a cost of $10,348 per person.
Being a supply chain gal, I think that supply chain leaders can help. My worry is that they are not. In this blog post, I want to drive a call for action.
In the chart in Figure 1, let’s look more closely at the healthcare value chain. To understand the chart, let me explain the format. The first value is the average for the period of 2010-2016 while the second number shows the average change comparing 2016 to 2010. For example, for the period of 2010-2016, pharmaceutical company margins averaged 22% (the highest of any industry). Comparing 2010 to 2016, operating margin improved by 4%. In contrast, the average margin for a hospital is 10% for the period of 2010-2016, but the 2016 margin is down 13% when compared to 2010.
Suppliers to the healthcare value chain enjoy high margins and continue to drive higher profits. However, no pharmaceutical or medical device company has stepped up to redesign the healthcare value chain to improve outcomes and reduce overall costs. In comparison, in consumer products, P&G, Coca-Cola, Wal-Mart, and Wegmans have championed many industry value-chain initiatives.
Figure 1. Healthcare Value Chain Analysis
In national news, we are discussing “Who pays what.” Instead, I think we need to aggressively attack the cost of healthcare. We have a system that is not affordable.
Today, the focus is on “efficient sickness”–checking in and out of hospitals. Instead, I think we need to focus on wellness. This would be a huge transformation.
So, perhaps a baby step is to start with the better management of inventory. Today, it is just too hard to find things in a hospital. In recent research, we find that senior leadership spends 17 hours tracking materials while the non-senior team spends 23 hours of a 40-hour work week tracking materials. As shown in Figure 2, this is significant and a cost drain. It is 30X more manual effort than a counterpart in manufacturing-based supply chains.
Figure 2. Manual Tracking of Supplies in a Hospital
I remember the days when I first ran a warehouse for a manufacturing company. It was before warehouse management. In those days, it was impossible to track inventory in the warehouse. I shutter thinking about all of the time that I spent trying to find inventory.
In the last de
cade, e-commerce warehouse capabilities, and the picking of the each, drove great advancements that could help a hospital. A good perpetual inventory signal is essential to supply chain excellence.
We could start with effective scanning. I visited a hospital last month and only about 2/3 of the items scanned on receipt, and a pre-requisite is a perpetual inventory signal. A hospital is a warehouse that needs automation. The hospital network should deploy cloud-based warehouse management quickly to help the organization.
In consumer goods, Wal-Mart and other large retailers drove bar code scan compliance using fines and penalties to drive improvement. In healthcare, there is no powerbroker, and the richest manufacturers are not trying to address the larger issues within healthcare to improve the cost structure.
Maybe the new initiative driven by Berkshire Hathaway CEO Warren Buffett, J.P. Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon, and Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos can help. They recently named the CEO and they certainly have a daunting task ahead.
Solving this problem will take a village. It is one that I hope all supply chain leaders in healthcare will support.
Let me know your thoughts.
Sources:
CNN, https://money.cnn.com/2018/01/30/news/economy/health-care-costs-eating-the-economy/index.html
https://www.cnbc.com/2018/06/07/buffett-dimon-and-bezos-to-name-health-care-ceo-within-two-weeks.html
Is your Supply Chain AI Ready?
A simple quiz to assess an organization’s AI readiness.
The pace of change is fast and furious. Every day, technology advances faster than we can digest. A great challenge to have.
Determining whether a supply chain is “AI-ready” is less about technology and more about the gray matter between the ears of supply chain leaders. Leadership, alignment, and clarity of goals matter.
Too few companies are clear on the definition of supply chain excellence. Measuring and rewarding functional metrics reduces the firm’s value. Putting agentics on top of today’s processes can make bad practices run faster, reducing value.
The toughest job for the supply chain leader is challenging existing supply chain paradigms that were defined by the limitations of decades of supply chain technologies. As the curtain lifts on the potential of new forms of technology, process redefinition is our opportunity, but only if we are clear on what drives value. (Here, I link to the Supply Chains to Admire reports to help you define value. The next report will be published on June 23rd, along with my Dynamic Benchmarking Product, to help you define value in the face of your AI readiness. More information about the launch is at the bottom of this blog.)
